NCAA Tournament 2022 bracket: Simulation predicts surprising upsets, March Madness picks, top sleepers

NCAA Tournament 2022 bracket: Simulation predicts surprising upsets, March Madness picks, top sleepers

Gone are the days in which the First Four games of March Madness are solely mid-majors fighting for a chance to be among the field of 64. The 2022 NCAA Tournament bracket will see a pair of major conference teams battling it out in the First Four 2022. In the West region, Rutgers and Notre Dame will play for the No. 11 seed in the March Madness 2022 bracket and the right to face No. 6 Alabama. Whomever emerges will have history on its side since the No. 11 seed has won 52.3 percent of games versus the No. 6 seed since 2010.

Rutgers and Notre Dame are old Big East foes, but their NCAA Tournament 2022 matchup will be the first meeting in nine years. The winner will have a quick turnaround to face Alabama, but that beats the alternative of going home. Which side should you favor when making your 2022 NCAA bracket picks? Before you make your 2022 NCAA Tournament predictions, see the March Madness bracket picks from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s advanced computer model absolutely crushed its March Madness picks last tournament, beating over 92 percent of all CBS Sports brackets for the second time in three years. The model also nailed a whopping three teams in the Final Four last year.

He knows how to spot an upset as well. The same model has produced brackets that have nailed 17 first-round upsets by double-digit seeds. It also nailed some massive upsets last tournament, including predicting the championship game between Gonzaga and Baylor, and hit Houston’s Midwest Region win even though the Cougars weren’t the No. 1 seed. Getting those picks right could literally make or break your March Madness bracket.

Now, SportsLine’s advanced computer model has simulated the entire NCAA Tournament 10,000 times to come up with the perfect 2022 NCAA Tournament bracket and find out which teams will pull off the biggest upsets. You shouldn’t even think about making a pick without seeing what their model has to say.

Top 2022 March Madness bracket upset picks

One team set to pull off a shocking upset in 2022 March Madness brackets: No. 13 Vermont shocks with an upset over No. 4 Arkansas in the West region. Vermont comes in as one of the hottest teams in the 2022 NCAA Tournament, as the Catamounts have only lost one game since December 10. Meanwhile, Arkansas is picking up the pieces after a disappointing exit from the SEC Tournament where the Razorbacks were ice cold from downtown and hit just 3-of-18 three-point attempts against Texas A&M.

Arkansas was an Elite Eight program last year, but has been a poor three-point shooting team all season long. That could prove problematic against Vermont, which has three players who have played at least 29 games this season and shot over 40 percent from three-point range. Furthermore, Vermont stormed through the America East Tournament and won its three games by an average score of 84-48. The Razorbacks may have better athletes, but the model likes how Vermont is playing team basketball as well as any program in the March Madness bracket 2022.

Another huge curveball in the West Region: No. 10 Davidson upsets No. 7 Michigan State. Michigan State started off hot but has fizzled down the stretch, losing eight of its last 13 games. It also struggled all year against top competition and owns a 4-8 record against the Top 25. Davidson had just one game against a ranked team, but it was impressive in that contest with a neutral-site victory over No. 10 Alabama.

The Wildcats have an extremely versatile and balanced offense, as four players average in double-figures and all four knock down at least 38 percent of their three-pointers. As a team, Davidson ranks among the top 12 in the nation in both three-point percentage and turnovers committed, both of which are key metrics for March Madness 2022 success. Davidson also has an intangible in his favor in that the game takes place in South Carolina, less than a two-hour drive from Davidson’s campus. The model recognizes all of the advantages Davidson has and has the Wildcats winning in over 50 percent of simulations.

How to make 2022 NCAA Tournament bracket predictions

SportsLine’s model also says a No. 11 seed and a No. 5 seed make the Final Four. It also tells you which No. 12 and No. 10 seeds are a must-back. Nailing those picks could literally make or break your bracket. With the model’s track record of calling bracket-busting upsets, you’ll want to see which stunners it is calling this year before locking in any NCAA bracket picks.

So what’s the optimal NCAA Tournament 2022 bracket? And which underdogs will shock college basketball? Visit SportsLine here to see which No. 11 and No. 5 seeds make the Final Four, plus which 12- and 10-seeds are a must-back, all from the model that’s nailed 17 double-digit seed upsets in the first round.