Blink and you missed it, but the yield on the 2-year Treasury note traded briefly above the yield on the 10-year note Tuesday afternoon, temporarily inverting the yield curve and triggering recession warning bells. Data shows that it hasn’t paid in the past to abandon stocks the moment the Treasury yield curve turns upside down, […]
US stock indexes rose at the opening and bond yields edged closer to flashing a recessionary warning signal Tuesday. The technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite led the major indexes in early trading, gaining 1.1%, or about 158 points. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained about 0.8%, while the S&P 500 added 0.7%. On Monday, major indexes rose […]
US stocks wavered and bond yields remained near their highest level in three years with investors preparing for a campaign of interest-rate increases from the Federal Reserve. The S&P 500 was up about 0.1% in early trading Monday. Last week, US stocks rebounded for a second consecutive week. The tech-focused Nasdaq Composite rose 0.5%, while […]
BlackRock founder Larry Fink declared that the Russia-Ukraine war is bringing the era of globalization to an end, but investors should keep in mind that the global economy and the financial system can’t turn on a dime, analysts say. “There is a lot of talk about countries going back to local production and the era […]
Investors have been watching the US Treasury yield curve for inversions, a reliable predictor of past economic downturns. They don’t always agree on which part of the curve is best to watch though. “Yield curve inversion, and flatting, has been at the forefront for everyone,” said Pete Duffy, chief investment officer at Penn Capital Management […]
US stocks rebounded for a second consecutive week as investors gained confidence that the economy can withstand the escalating war in Ukraine and the Federal Reserve’s plans to lift interest rates to control inflation. The S&P 500 climbed 1.8% for the week, extending its gains over the past two weeks to 8.1%, the strongest run […]
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller has no doubt about how competitive today’s housing market is. “Trust me, I know it is red hot because I am trying to buy a house here in Washington and the market is crazy,” Waller said in a speech at a housing conference. But even as home and rental prices […]
President Vladimir Putin’s war in Ukraine, and the wave of Western sanctions in response, is starting to hit Russia’s economic engine: Its prodigious oil-and-gas industry. The US and Canada have barred the little Russian oil they import, while the European Union is considering a ban. But for the most part, Western sanctions have so far […]
The bond market’s most reliable gauge of the US economic outlook for the past half-century is hurtling toward inversion at a faster pace than it has in recent decades, raising fresh worries about the economy’s prospects as the Federal Reserve begins to consider aggressively hiking interest rates . The widely followed spread between 2-year TMUBMUSD02Y, […]
A brief wobble aside, the US stock market is taking Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s decision to fully unleash the inflation-fighting side of his monetary policy persona in stride. That may be a surprise to some investors as Treasury yields soar and money-market participants price in an aggressive round of benchmark interest rate increases after […]
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